Bitcoin

Bitcoin analysis predicts ‘spicy’ BTC price into FOMC as $27K holds

Bitcoin (BTC) held $27,000 into Sep. 20 as the key macroeconomic date of the cryptocurrency trading week arrived.

BTC/USD 1-hour chart. Source: TradingView

Market “set to accommodate” BTC price volatility

Data from Cointelegraph Markets Pro and TradingView showed the BTC price focus shifting upward compared to the week prior.

Crypto markets showed conviction into the decision on interest rates by the United States Federal Reserve. The Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) was due to announce its latest changes at 2pm Eastern time on the day.

As Cointelegraph reported, expectations almost unanimously favored rates staying at current levels, with the odds still at 99% at the time of writing, per data from CME Group’s FedWatch Tool.

“The market is pricing a 99% probability that the Fed are on hold at this meeting. And the data is conducive for that, core CPI inflation is now running at the Fed’s target on a 3-month annualized basis,” financial commentator Tedtalksmacro told X subscribers in part of his latest analysis.

“Potentially the first meeting where the Fed recognize that inflation is trending on the right path…”

Fed target rate probabilities chart. Source: CME Group

Despite this, the event was tipped to deliver short-term volatility.

Analyzing the state of the BTC/USD order book on largest global exchange Binance, monitoring resource Material Indicators said that liquidity around spot price was noticeably thin.

“If one thing in particular stands out, it’s that liquidity is thinly distributed through the range,” part of its commentary stated.

“We could see some walls go up, but for now it appears the order book is set to accommodate more volatility.”

Material Indicators added that the subsequent speech and press conference from Fed Chair Jerome Powell should lead to further “spicy” BTC price action.

An accompanying chart showed some bid-side liquidity parked at $26,650, while substantial bids still only at $25,000. To the upside, sellers lay in wait at $27,450 — the local BTC price high from September.

BTC/USD order book data for Binance. Source: Material Indicators/X

Bitcoin traders eye key levels

Continuing, others hoped for some range levels to be challenged as part of the FOMC reaction.

 Related: Bitcoin Bollinger Bands hit key zone as BTC price fights for $27K

“Good chance we take out some stops today during the volatility,” popular trader Daan Crypto Trades suggested.

BTC/USD annotated chart. Source: Daan Crypto Trades/X

Fellow trader Jelle said that he expected “choppy waters” on Bitcoin, while scanning broader exchange activity, trader Skew predicted a lively FOMC trading environment.

Crypto Tony meanwhile flagged $26,800 as the line in the sand for Bitcoin bulls to protect.

“This is what i am looking for to remain in my long position. Must hold above $26,800 support zone, or we risk creating a deviation,” he commented alongside his own chart.

Continuing, others hoped for some range levels to be challenged as part of the FOMC reaction.

BTC/USD annotated chart. Source: Crypto Tony/X

This article does not contain investment advice or recommendations. Every investment and trading move involves risk, and readers should conduct their own research when making a decision.

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